Fondi v\u00ebren se rreziku p\u00ebr rivler\u00ebsimin e euros \u00ebsht\u00eb mesatar, por n\u00ebse ndodh, rreziku \u00ebsht\u00eb i lart\u00eb. N\u00eb raportin e fundit Fondi i kushtoi m\u00eb shum\u00eb v\u00ebmendje zhvillimeve t\u00eb kursit t\u00eb k\u00ebmbimit dhe r\u00ebnd\u00ebsin\u00eb q\u00eb ka mbajtja e regjimit fleksib\u00ebl.<\/p>\n
N\u00eb vitin 2022 euro u k\u00ebmbye mesatarisht mbi 120 lek\u00eb, nd\u00ebrsa n\u00eb korrik t\u00eb k\u00ebtij viti euro u k\u00ebmbye p\u00ebr her\u00eb t\u00eb par\u00eb n\u00ebn 100 lek\u00eb.<\/p>\n
\u201cN\u00ebse kursi i k\u00ebmbimit mund t\u00eb marr\u00eb nj\u00eb kthese t\u00eb papritur duke u rikthyer n\u00eb nivelin e vitit 2022 do t\u00eb ndikonte negativisht sektorin financiar, bizneset dhe familjet, n\u00ebp\u00ebrmjet rritjes s\u00eb kredive me probleme, duke pasur parasysh se nj\u00eb pjes\u00eb e madhe e huave jan\u00eb n\u00eb valut\u00eb\u201d v\u00eb n\u00eb dukje FMN.<\/p>\n
Fondi analizoi se zhvler\u00ebsimi i euros u nxit nga prurjet n\u00eb rritje t\u00eb turizmit, emigrant\u00ebve dhe investimeve t\u00eb huaja, por kishte disa momente kur n\u00ebn\u00e7mimi i nxit nga faktor\u00eb jo themelore (spekulime).<\/p>\n
Kursi real efektiv i k\u00ebmbimit i Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb mbeti p\u00ebrgjith\u00ebsisht i q\u00ebndruesh\u00ebm n\u00eb 10 muajt e par\u00eb t\u00eb 2024 pasi regjistroi nj\u00eb vler\u00ebsim prej 11 p\u00ebr qind n\u00eb 2023. Vler\u00ebsimi kumulativ n\u00eb dekad\u00ebn e kaluar \u00ebsht\u00eb rreth 35 pike p\u00ebr qind.<\/p>\n
Nd\u00ebrsa Shqip\u00ebria mbetet konkurruese si destinacion turistik, presionet p\u00ebr ta pozicionuar Shqip\u00ebrin\u00eb si konkurrente n\u00eb afatgjat\u00eb do t\u00eb shtohen n\u00ebse rritja e pagave vazhdon t\u00eb tejkaloj\u00eb rritjen e produktivitetit t\u00eb pun\u00ebs\u201d, vler\u00ebson FMN.<\/p>\n
N\u00eb vitin 2024, hyrjet financiare neto u nxit\u00ebn kryesisht nga flukset hyr\u00ebse t\u00eb IHD-ve, t\u00eb cilat p\u00ebrb\u00ebnin rreth 7 p\u00ebr qind e PBB-s\u00eb. FMN analizon se investimet e huaja jan\u00eb t\u00eb p\u00ebrqendruara kryesisht n\u00eb turiz\u00ebm dhe sektor\u00ebt e nd\u00ebrtimit dhe tani mund t\u00eb rriten me ritme m\u00eb t\u00eb ngadalta pasi flukset e turizmit stabilizohen.<\/p>\n
Banka e Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb i shtoi nd\u00ebrhyrjet n\u00eb kursin e k\u00ebmbimit gjat\u00eb vitit 2024. Injektimi total n\u00eb vler\u00eb vitin e kaluar ishte rreth 3 p\u00ebr qind e PBB-s\u00eb. FMN rekomandon se Banka e Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb duhet t\u00eb lejoj\u00eb q\u00eb kursi i k\u00ebmbimit t\u00eb p\u00ebrshtatet n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb m\u00eb fleksib\u00ebl, ku nd\u00ebrhyrja do t\u00eb sh\u00ebrbej\u00eb vet\u00ebm si nj\u00eb mjet plot\u00ebsues n\u00eb adresimin e luhatjeve jothemelore.<\/p>\n
Analiza e FMN konstaton ka pasur disa episode t\u00eb kufizuara edhe vitin 2024, n\u00eb t\u00eb cilin presionet themelore t\u00eb vler\u00ebsimit t\u00eb lekut u nxiten nga forca jo-themelore. N\u00eb t\u00eb tilla rrethana, nd\u00ebrhyrjet ne kursin e k\u00ebmbimit mund t\u00eb sh\u00ebrbejn\u00eb si nj\u00eb mjet plot\u00ebsues p\u00ebr t\u00eb thyer vrullin spekulativ, por t\u00eb tilla nd\u00ebrhyrja duhet t\u00eb jen\u00eb n\u00eb shkall\u00eb t\u00eb kufizuar analizon Fondi.\/ MONITOR<\/p>\n
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