Por akoma m\u00eb alarmant \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb projeksion i Kombeve t\u00eb Bashkuara.<\/p>\n
N\u00eb skenarin e mes\u00ebm t\u00eb OKB-s\u00eb, popullsia e Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb zbret n\u00eb vet\u00ebm 1.184.997 banor\u00eb n\u00eb vitin 2100. Kjo do t\u00eb n\u00ebnkuptonte rreth 2,1 milion\u00eb banor\u00eb m\u00eb pak se n\u00eb kulmin e vitit 1991, ose nj\u00eb tkurrje prej 63,9%.<\/p>\n
Vet\u00ebm nga niveli i projektuar p\u00ebr vitin 2026 deri n\u00eb 2100, vendi do t\u00eb humbiste rreth 1,57 milion\u00eb banor\u00eb, m\u00eb shum\u00eb se gjysm\u00ebn e popullsis\u00eb s\u00eb sotme sipas seris\u00eb s\u00eb OKB-s\u00eb.<\/p>\n
Shqip\u00ebria e nisi r\u00ebnien 29 vjet p\u00ebrpara Europ\u00ebs<\/strong><\/p>\n Kthesa demografike e Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb ka ardhur shum\u00eb m\u00eb her\u00ebt se ajo e Evrop\u00ebs n\u00eb t\u00ebr\u00ebsi. Sipas t\u00eb nj\u00ebjt\u00ebs databaz\u00eb t\u00eb OKB-s\u00eb, popullsia e kontinentit europian arriti maksimumin n\u00eb vitin 2020, me rreth 749,2 milion\u00eb banor\u00eb.<\/p>\n Pra, Shqip\u00ebria e kishte kaluar kulmin 29 vjet m\u00eb her\u00ebt. Deri n\u00eb vitin 2100, popullsia e Evrop\u00ebs projektohet n\u00eb rreth 592,3 milion\u00eb banor\u00eb, af\u00ebrsisht 21% n\u00ebn kulmin e saj, nj\u00eb tkurrje shum\u00eb m\u00eb e moderuar n\u00eb p\u00ebrqindje se 63,9% q\u00eb del p\u00ebr Shqip\u00ebrin\u00eb.<\/p>\n N\u00eb fakt, Shqip\u00ebria i p\u00ebrket nj\u00eb brezi t\u00eb vendeve t\u00eb Evrop\u00ebs Lindore dhe Juglindore q\u00eb e kan\u00eb arritur maksimumin demografik shum\u00eb her\u00ebt. Serbia e pati kulmin n\u00eb vitin 1987, Bullgaria n\u00eb 1988 dhe Kroacia n\u00eb 1990. Shqip\u00ebria dhe Bosnj\u00eb-Hercegovina e arrit\u00ebn at\u00eb n\u00eb 1991.<\/p>\n N\u00eb pjes\u00ebn tjet\u00ebr t\u00eb rajonit, seria e OKB-s\u00eb e vendos kulmin e Kosov\u00ebs n\u00eb vitin 1997 dhe t\u00eb Maqedonis\u00eb s\u00eb Veriut n\u00eb 2005, nd\u00ebrsa Greqia vazhdoi t\u00eb rritej deri n\u00eb vitin 2010. Mali i Zi dhe Sllovenia arrit\u00ebn maksimumin shum\u00eb m\u00eb von\u00eb, n\u00eb 2024. Turqia \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb nga p\u00ebrjashtimet e rajonit: n\u00eb skenarin e mes\u00ebm, popullsia e saj vazhdon t\u00eb rritet edhe p\u00ebr rreth dy dekada dhe kulmon rreth vitit 2047.<\/p>\n Deri n\u00eb 2100, vet\u00ebm Bosnja paraqitet me nj\u00eb r\u00ebnie m\u00eb t\u00eb fort\u00eb se Shqip\u00ebria n\u00eb rajon<\/strong><\/p>\n Edhe m\u00eb dometh\u00ebn\u00ebs \u00ebsht\u00eb krahasimi i madh\u00ebsis\u00eb s\u00eb tkurrjes s\u00eb projektuar. N\u00eb grupin e vendeve t\u00eb Ballkanit t\u00eb krahasuara, Shqip\u00ebria del nd\u00ebr vendet q\u00eb humbin pjes\u00ebn m\u00eb t\u00eb madhe t\u00eb popullsis\u00eb s\u00eb tyre nga maksimumi historik deri n\u00eb vitin 2100.<\/p>\n Bosnj\u00eb-Hercegovina projektohet t\u00eb zbres\u00eb nga 4,46 milion\u00eb banor\u00eb n\u00eb kulmin e vitit 1991 n\u00eb 1,37 milion\u00eb n\u00eb 2100, ose rreth 69,4% m\u00eb pak. Shqip\u00ebria vjen menj\u00ebher\u00eb pas saj me r\u00ebnie 63,9%. P\u00ebr Bullgarin\u00eb tkurrja nga kulmi deri n\u00eb 2100 del rreth 60,7%, p\u00ebr Maqedonin\u00eb e Veriut 58,7%, Kroacin\u00eb 55,7%, Serbin\u00eb rreth 53,1% dhe Kosov\u00ebn 50,2%.<\/p>\n R\u00ebnia e projektuar \u00ebsht\u00eb m\u00eb e moderuar n\u00eb Malin e Zi, me rreth 49% nga kulmi deri n\u00eb 2100, n\u00eb Greqi me rreth 44% dhe ve\u00e7an\u00ebrisht n\u00eb Slloveni, ku popullsia n\u00eb fund t\u00eb shekullit del rreth 23% m\u00eb e ul\u00ebt se maksimumi.<\/p>\n Pozicioni i Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb p\u00ebrputhet me nj\u00eb fenomen m\u00eb t\u00eb gjer\u00eb t\u00eb Evrop\u00ebs Lindore. Our World in Data v\u00ebren se pothuajse t\u00eb gjitha vendet q\u00eb e kan\u00eb kaluar tashm\u00eb kulmin e popullsis\u00eb ndodhen n\u00eb Evrop\u00eb dhe Azin\u00eb Lindore, ku r\u00ebnia e lindshm\u00ebris\u00eb ka qen\u00eb e shpejt\u00eb dhe normat kan\u00eb q\u00ebndruar t\u00eb ul\u00ebta.<\/p>\n P\u00ebr vendet e Evrop\u00ebs Lindore, emigracioni i lart\u00eb ka shtuar m\u00eb tej presionin n\u00eb r\u00ebnie t\u00eb popullsis\u00eb.\u00a0\/ekofin.al<\/strong><\/p>\n Shqip\u00ebria e ka kaluar kulmin e popullsis\u00eb prej 35 vjet\u00ebsh dhe, sipas projeksioneve t\u00eb Kombeve t\u00eb Bashkuara, tkurrja demografike pritet t\u00eb vazhdoj\u00eb gjat\u00eb gjith\u00eb k\u00ebtij shekulli. Seria e\u00a0World Population Prospects 2024, mbi t\u00eb cil\u00ebn bazohet analiza e re e\u00a0Our World in Data, e vendos maksimumin e popullsis\u00eb s\u00eb Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb n\u00eb vitin 1991, me 3.282.602 banor\u00eb. …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":151256,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[37,46],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-151255","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","","category-politike","category-ekonomi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/rdnews.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/151255","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/rdnews.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/rdnews.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/rdnews.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/rdnews.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=151255"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/rdnews.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/151255\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":151257,"href":"https:\/\/rdnews.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/151255\/revisions\/151257"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/rdnews.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/151256"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/rdnews.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=151255"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/rdnews.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=151255"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/rdnews.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=151255"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}![\"\"](\"https:\/\/boldnews.al\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/demografia-640x800.png\")
<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"